Ukraine War Day #309: Missile Strikes + Mozart Criticizes Ukrainians

Dear Readers:

We’ll start off with a quick note about the missile strikes that Russia launched again against Ukraine just today. This time Russia is focusing on Ukrainian anti-air defenses and military objects such as weapons factories, and not so much on civilian or dual-purpose infrastructure. I am glad to hear that, as I genuinely do not like the thought of ordinary people suffering, or even just being inconvenienced. (I know how much I hate it when I am inconvenienced in my daily life, and I am still capable of feeling empathy.) Nonetheless, there is bound to be some suffering/inconvenience involved: For example, I heard that the Kharkov Metro stopped working, along with all other electricity-driven transport in that unfortunate city. To give credit to the Ukrainian proletariat, their electricians and linemen are often able to repair these things fairly quickly. But the main thing is to take out Ukraine’s air defenses and military objects. “Demilitarization” being the operative word. The Russian government knows it simply cannot live with such a hostile and belligerent neighbor. It’s just not possible any more.

Mikhail Zvinchuk, aka Rybar

Many readers have heard of the Russian blogger/military analyst who goes by the name Rybar, this is the pseudonym for a man named Mikhail Zvinchuk. He used to work at the Press service for the Russian Ministry of Defense, and was recently invited to join Putin’s Presidential Council on mobilization issues. People who have been following his telegram tweets in the course of this war, regard Zvinchuk as one of the most reliable sources for tactical, as well as strategic, information. He doesn’t lie, he doesn’t sugarcoat, and he doesn’t pull any punches, especially when it comes to criticizing the khalatnost of the Russian military bureaucracy. Here is what he had to say about the latest batch of strikes:

С момента предыдущего массированного огневого поражения прошло две недели. Судя по всему, такой срок был выбран неслучайно: учитывая общую бюрократизированность аппарата Минобороны России, именно столько времени нужно на уточнение результатов, оценку последствий и планирование нового удара.

Вот только, как мы и говорили ранее, на Украине к таким срокам успели приспособиться. И если не начать менять подход и ускоряться, то результаты огневого поражения с каждым разом будут скромнее.

TRANSLATION:

Since the time of the previous massive strikes, two weeks have passed. Judging by everything, this delay was not coincidental: Taking into account the bureaucratization of the Ministry of Defense apparatus, that is exactly how much time is needed in order to compile the results, draw conclusions, and plan the next strike.

It’s just that, like we said before, the Ukrainians have been able to adapt to this schedule. And if we don’t start to change our approach and speed things up, then the results of each strike will become ever more modest, every time.

Global Norms

Next I have this piece by reporter Olga Ivanova. It contains a short video (just over a minute). Anglophone readers who click on the video will see that the people are speaking in English. Subtitles and explanations are given in Russian for the Russian audience. I am not sure if there is a more direct source for this on the English-language internet; but this is what I found, so I’ll go with it.

These are not the same people.

There is an American private military company (sort of like Blackwater, only this one is called Mozart). Wiki makes sure to disambiguate that this Mozart Group is not the same thing as the Polish Cabaret and String Quartet of the same name. Although, to be honest, I’d much rather be listening to the String Quartet than to the intoxicated ramblings of a mercenary.

The group that we are talking about was founded just this past March, by an American retired Marine Colonel named Andrew Milburn, for the explicit reason of helping the Ukrainians to fight against Russia. We hear from time to time about the Mozart guys facing off against Russia’s Wagner guys on the Donbass Front. Which would be sort of an amusing meme (a battlefield Music Slam!), if this war wasn’t so horrible.

This video is rather interesting, because I would not have expected somebody like Andrew Milburn to say negative things about the Ukrainians. The Kiev regime has a way of making their supporters believe that all Ukrainians are noble heroes, white and fluffy angels who shoot rainbows out of their asses. Gullible Westies, especially Americans, raised on comic books and television trash, want to believe this nonsense, because they hunger for a cause to believe in, for peerless heroes to adore. People who, a year ago, could not point to the Ukraine on a map, now fervently believe that Ukraine is a holy place filled with positive heroes: stalwart soldiers, honest, brave, ferocious and yet somehow kind and generous at the same time. Mercilessly killing a Russian with one hand, while saving a kitten with the other. Just like the action heroes on TV. (In past times, these same positive qualities were also attributed to Afghan mujahadeen, or Chechen jihadists, or any other people who happened to be fighting against Russia at the time; the universal constant being that Russians are always the baddies!)

Well, Andrew Milburn, apparently, is just a little bit smarter than that, or maybe just world-weary. Leaving idealization of heroes to the adolescent-minded, one gets more cynical as one gets older. Thanks to the internet, I found an image of Milburn, so I know what he looks like. His wiki says that he grew up in the United Kingdom, which explains his slight British accent. (Not knowing that, I actually would have pegged him as Australian.) I don’t know who the other two men are. The Russian text explicates that the interview was “very informal”, so that nobody was really curbing their tongues. Looks like three guys just sitting around and mellowing out with the help of a couple shots of whiskey. Milburn’s voice is slightly slurred, like he drank a little too much and said a bit too much. For our purposes, I’ll call the guy with the laptop “Laptop Guy” or LG. He only has one line in this play, and the third guy says nothing. As an exercise for myself in comprehension/dictation, I attempted a literal word-by-word transcription of the short clip:

Andrew Milburn

Milburn: [Ukraine] is a corrupt, fucked-up society. You know, so I’m not a big fan of Ukraine. The Ukrainians are in violation of the Hague Convention. There is a, I forget the exact phraseology, but it is, we looked at this closely, and it is, yeah, there should be no filming of… uh, the terminology is, “bringing attention, blah blah blah blah” to media. Um. And yes, the Ukrainians are violating that. You know.

LG: These violations are atrocities…

Milburn: Yeah, it still is, you shouldn’t kill, you shouldn’t kill dudes who, I mean, heaven knows, who have surrendered. I mean, um, and there was plenty of that. But my point is, it’s not about Ukraine. We’re not like, I happen to have, you know, a Ukraine flag tied to my bag, but I’m not [adopting falsetto voice]: “Oh my god, Ukraine is so awesome…” you know, because it’s.. I understand, plenty of fucked-up people running Ukraine. It’s not about that, it’s about global norms.

LG: Right.

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41 Responses to Ukraine War Day #309: Missile Strikes + Mozart Criticizes Ukrainians

  1. Liborio Guaso says:

    This Milburn is not a novice and knew from the beginning everything he now denounces; Dedicating yourself to training groups of assassins is a very dirty job, even dirtier than selling drugs outside an elementary school.
    And he did it happily for money, not in memory of the great Mozart.
    And let’s never forget that war is not just another fashionable electronic game and in it some kill as the only solution.

    Like

  2. james says:

    thanks yalensis….. millburn is in it for the money… all that money that is supposed to be going to ukraine? it is going to the usa military complex and millburn is a part of that…

    Like

  3. the pair says:

    was reading about these guys the other day and apparently they’re an official “charity”.

    https://www.themozartgroup.com/donate/

    odd. i think this was a combo of booze and the lack of interest military types have for “optics”. it’s hard to have a filter after dropping “whiskey pete” on people in fallujah and “lighting up” honda hatchbacks at a checkpoint. he also has that “HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL!!!!!” look to him for what it’s worth.

    i’m also guessing they – like most westerners – thought any negative news about ukies was “fake news” but once you’re “in country” it’s hard to deny the obvious. and that’s my daily supply of quote marks gone in one post…

    Liked by 1 person

  4. peter moritz says:

    I think it is just atrocious to drag the name of composers through the mud. I somehow can understand this in relation to Wagner, with his often historical justification of nationalism and martial pieces. But for fuck sake, why can’t the US barbarian cowboys not leave poor Mozart alone, what does he have to do with any of that?

    Like

    • yalensis says:

      Wagner doesn’t deserve it either, most of the time he is more about love than war. Now if it was Gounod, that would make more sense…

      But you got me thinking, and it’s true, Mozart didn’t write very much martial music, did he? The closest I can think of is Figaro’s aria to Cherubino Non più andrai:

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      • S Brennan says:

        Bravo !

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        • yalensis says:

          It’s amusing of course, but near the end of this interpretation, when Figaro starts decking Cherubino out in armor and helmet, it sort of rings not so funny any more. We have to remember that Count Almaviva never relents, poor Cherubino does actually have to go off to war, like a lamb to the slaughter. And, in the original source material, he dies in battle.

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          • S Brennan says:

            Hmmm…you know my thing Y,

            If all segments of a society had to FULLY participate in wars, there would be far fewer of them.

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  5. Daniel Rich says:

    I’d call my BoB “Götterdämmerung.” You want to strike fear in the hearts of you adversaries, not a mild smile on their face.

    As to Mikhail Zvinchuk, he is/was a military translator. That makes him unfit to comment on this military operation on a strategical/logistical level, as he’s not privy to any of it, so it’s just his opinion.

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    • Daniel Rich says:

      BoB = Band of Brothers

      Like

    • yalensis says:

      And yet Zvinchuk proved to be enough of a gadfly to be invited onto Putin’s Presidential Commission!

      Götterdämmerung, eh? Very well, my friend, I’ll raise you one demented woman who hired assassins to murder her lover, and then threw herself onto the funeral pyre, while machinating an end to the entire world, as we know it — Good stuff!

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      • Daniel Rich says:

        @ yalensis,

        Burn the old, to get to the new. As such, the Lodgepole pine, Eucalyptus, and Banksia [among others] lead the way and we [humble human beings] watch in awe what happens when the flames reach ever higher…

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      • Sacha says:

        Zvinchuk sounds an Ukrainian name if I’m right

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        • Daniel Rich says:

          @ Sacha,

          I have no clue whatsoever. I only know the MoD uses ‘Z’ and ‘V.’ A little digging brought this up: “… the “Z” symbol is an abbreviation of the phrase “for victory” (Russian: за победу, Romanized: za pobedu), while the “V” symbol stands for “strength is in truth” (Russian: сила в правде, Romanized: sila v pravde) and “The task will be completed” …”

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        • yalensis says:

          Yes, the name Zvinchuk is probably ethnic Ukrainian origin. Names ending in -chuk tend to be, but you never know.

          Like

  6. Jay Caplan says:

    Has anyone seen the NYT video in which they purportedly prove that Russia was responsible for massive crimes in Bucha? I found it on Google News. I thought these allegations had been disproved months ago.

    Like

    • Sacha says:

      Could you provide a link please?

      Like

        • yalensis says:

          Thanks for the link, Jay. It’s behind a paywall, and I am not inclined to pay $$$ to read their propaganda. I’d read it if it was free!

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          • Jay Caplan says:

            Thank you for responding. I understand your reluctance to pay them. I was just hoping that someone more knowledgeable than I would be able to evaluate the evidence in this piece. The NYSlimes seems to have made a major investment in its production: it’s VERY long and attributed to EIGHT different reporters. Because I don’t know enough about either the details of the case or video editing, I wasn’t masochistic enough to read it.

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            • yalensis says:

              Maybe there is somebody out there who can do an expert analysis.

              Like

              • Joseph says:

                i think the report — a very slick production — is still available for free on reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/zxcwxc/ua_pov_nyt_investigation_with_new_footage/

                Like

              • yalensis says:

                Thanks, I’ll watch it later.

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              • yalensis says:

                So, I watched it on the reddit link, thanks for providing that. I didn’t want to watch, because I am squeamish and can’t stand the sight of blood, but I forced myself, turned out it wasn’t as gory as I had feared.

                Anyhow, one “neutral” commenter made a very good point:
                That Milburn podcast likely prompted the timing of this expose, which is a bit cynical but unsurprising.

                Given that the pro-Ukr side had 8 months to create this montage. And all they came up with is some fairly weak sauce, “proving” that some Russian soldiers, possibly, committed excesses and executed some people, like maybe a dozen people. Most likely members of Ukrainian Territorial Defense.

                Would still be a war crime if it actually happened (and I don’t doubt some Russian soldiers have committed crimes and excesses in the course of this war, it would be miracle if nothing like that happened), but nothing like the mass massacres of hundreds and thousands claimed by the Ukry. Still seems to me, from everything I have read and analyzed, that the Ukry staged a much bigger massacre in Bucha after the Russians left; and then (with assistance from British intelligence) pulled together all the available bodies, including some from the morgue, to lay them out on the streets for the Western press to find.

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              • Jay Caplan says:

                Thank you very much for taking the time to provide some knowledgeable analysis of this NYT production. I was astonished by the timing of its release (which you also speculate on- thank you!) and the investment (resources, personnel) that it required.

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              • Joseph says:

                On the NYT film, I’ve read a few dissenting comments making the point that if the Ukrainians were actually convinced the Russian soldiers had perpetrated the killings, full forensic audits would have been performed documenting the timing and methods of the deaths. So far as I am aware, the Ukrainian side has not presented any evidence of this sort, and relies almost exclusively on “film” material.

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              • Jay Caplan says:

                Thank you!

                Like

              • yalensis says:

                Great point, Joseph. I think it was the Russian side, in regard to Bucha, that kept pressing a single question: Please provide the (a) name, (b) address, (c) time of mode of death of each of the bodies. Seems like it would have been an easy task for any coroner to provide…

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  7. Beluga says:

    Milburn’s drunken ramblings have been dissected by just about all the usual pro-Russian bloggers. I like Larry Johnson’s take the best, personally. But the comments at nakedcapitalism.com are much better than the deluded right wing stuff Mr Johnson attracts. He seems an order of magnitude saner than the conspiracy theorists who ramble on about their latest favourite brainstorm in his comment section.

    https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2022/12/the-ukraine-crisis-is-a-classic-security-dilemma.html

    So far as these barrages of Russian missiles and drones go, I read several weeks ago now that the Ukrainians were literally sandbagging the substations. Keeps a big bang down to semi-manageable proportions. I don’t know, does Russia have an anti-sandbag warhead? They seem to have one for everything else. No doubt about it, these current strikes don’t seem all that damaging.

    And Moon of Alabama highlights the supposedly much better anti-artillery return fire the Russians have had in Donetsk since December 23. All due to some new piece of tech. Several M777s down the drain.

    The Engels air base incidents are still up in the air as to why they were semi-successful, and nobody’s really talking enough to allow even half-assed reasonable speculation as to “What happened?”. Obfuscation to the fore.

    This guy Zvinchuk is blaming slow Russian army reaction to Ukie provocation on the bureaucratization of the war, where paper pushers in Moscow take two weeks to come to a conclusion as to what they should try next. Haven’t a clue as to whether he’s right or not, but his elevation to an official panel to natter about this kind of stuff would lead one to believe he may be correct. I thought Surovikin had his own staff and independent responsibility to counter the bureaucrats, er run the show, as he saw fit, but Zvinchuk probably knows better.

    The artillery flattening of Kherson continues apace, which I assume is indeed Surovikin at work. I haven’t got the foggiest clue as to why the Russians are doing that so thoroughly. except to speculate that the continuous thrashing of Kherson and its remaining pro-Ukie civilians seems to me to be in retaliation for the years of Ukrainian shelling of the DPR, as in “And how do YOU like, it, you gorfs?”

    In other words, we’re getting nowhere fast. As usual in this SMO.

    Like

    • yalensis says:

      Jimmy Dore also did a segment on the drunken Milburn rant, his clip is longer and shows more dialogue than the one I found. JImmy also has the added attraction of Max Blumenthal as his guest:

      Like

    • peter moritz says:

      “No doubt about it, these current strikes don’t seem all that damaging.”

      Is that so? It is however funny when googling “effects of latest russian rocket attacks in ukraine” the newest report on the first page is from Dec. 16.
      While using Qwant search engine, the newest report referenced is from yesterday and seems to contradict your statement.

      https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/russian-missiles-ukraine-airstrikes-kyiv-lviv-zelenskyy-rcna63572
      https://www.foxnews.com/world/ukraine-russia-rocket-attack-nato-weapons

      Like

      • yalensis says:

        The other interesting point being that Russia fired 120 missiles. If I am not mistaken, that’s the largest number so far. Prior to this, Ukrainians were shrugging off the strikes and saying each time there were fewer and fewer missiles involved. Their talking point being that Russia is running out of missiles.

        Like

      • Beluga says:

        I’m not trying to start an argument, but the power is still on to a degree after a thousand missiles or so over a period of months. The Russians finally managed to get a big oil fire going the other day.

        But what do I know anyway? I only worked at an electrical utility for 21 years. Hell, people with rifles can zonk a big transformer worth millions in two minutes, or dolts breaking into a substation and stealing copper to sell for 60 bucks can ruin things for several days. Detonating half a tonne of TNT in a sub one would expect to terminate that yard, permanently unless it’s dozens of acres. Which seems unlikely in a city. One of the biggest transformer manufacturers in the world was in Ukraine but has ceased business. Maybe the recently unemployed engineers have special solutions and are some kind of super beings. Or, logically, the damage has not been completely terminal. A lot of the missiles are also supposed to be decoys as well, lessening the damage, and many are intercepted, so the Ukrainian story goes.

        I spend a good three hours a day reading up on the Ukraine situation, and am thus vaguely aware of this and that. It no doubt to some extent depends on one’s background how one interprets what one reads. Me, I’m rather interested in reality. The power isn’t all off, and for the life of me I cannot work out why not, after so many of these barrages. On the surface, it seems to me like Russia holds back and doesn’t go in for the kill. Drip, drip, drip. Chinese water torture. Just pisses the civilians suffering rolling blackouts right off and wins no friends whatsoever. They cannot discern that they are being treated lightly, and it’s really not surprising they don’t believe of word of the brotherly love VVP expressed at the Defence Board meeting the other day that I linked in previous comments. All Russia is managing to do is to put Ukrainian people’s backs right up, in my opinion. And no help is needed from the nazis or the Americans/ West/Nato cabal to make your average civilian feel pretty goddam angry at the situation.

        Anyway, that’s my take. You’re welcome to yours.

        Like

        • yalensis says:

          Ordinary Ukrainians are a resourceful and hard-working people, this is a post-Soviet society, there are lots of engineers, of course they are going to fix things and get things back up and running as soon as possible. And good for them.

          Russia is not going for the kill, that I believe. And good for them too.
          The goal is to win the war without being a total dick.

          Like

          • Beluga says:

            I quite agree that Russia is trying to win the SMO without being a total dick.

            What I’m saying is that that distinction is totally lost on the average ethno-non-nazi Ukrainian hard-working good person suffering the consequences. Tell me, what are they supposed to believe? They’ve been forced down a garden path of utter nihilistic bullsh!t by Zelensky and the West and then treated like mushrooms, kept in the dark and fed manure. The resulting wobbly electrical supply is caused by Russian attacks, and how are they supposed to discern they’re being treated lightly? When they’re surrounded by Ukie government propaganda telling them otherwise?

            They can’t.

            This is what happens when you half-arse your attack. Get it over and done with instead of pussy-footing around. What I now cannot understand is why you don’t see the problem here. There are no friends of Russia on the right bank of the Dnieper except in ethno-Russian pockets in some cities, particularly Odessa. So far as I know. The rest of the general population are pissed off to hell and back — there’s no one explaining the details to them that the Russians are treading lightly. And they might not be too receptive if someone did have a go at trying to explain, considering the crappy lives they’re living at the moment.

            When I say engineers, btw, I mean like those in the transformer design and manufacturing business or electrical system design and planning. I’m talking about real engineers, not linemen or technicians who are commonly deployed in the “field” to repair things. They tend to laugh at real engineers as pantywaists until the chips are down in a crisis. Like nurses telling docs their business — saw that firsthand in my family with my brother and wife — professional versus technical understanding. There is a big gap.

            Like

            • peter moritz says:

              “This is what happens when you half-arse your attack. Get it over and done with instead of pussy-footing around.”

              You are a real very modern major general. Why for fuck sake don’t you get it over with and apply for Surovikin’s job instead of spreading your manure here, I ask politely.
              Or ask yourself why it is that the Ukrainian army loses personnel at a rate of 10 to 1 or so and equipment to boot, storming Russian positions like lemmings running over a cliff with the same deadly result?
              Or take a lesson on tactics with Berletic to understand why Russia is softening up positions by sacrificing tens of thousands of artillery shells before they senselessly sacrifice men?

              With advice like yours, given very expensively for free, you are better
              suited for a position in the Ukrainian army, or better still, keep hugging your armchair and save your sage advice for bedtime stories for your maybe achievable grandchildren, telling them how you managed to defeat the Ukrainians way back when single-handedly, or might have, had Putin listened to your advice.

              Like

    • moon says:

      he seems an order of magnitude saner than the conspiracy theorists who ramble on about their latest favourite brainstorm in his comment section.
      Johnson went over the top crazy about the stolen election on Pat Lang’s blog. Saner? He was never ‘sane’. His constant repetition of: I heard it from within well-connected intelligence circles was tiring already ages ago, when he supposedly heard from those circles about the Michelle-Obama’s-calling -Whitey-video. Where he ‘had heard it’ too. He is a perfect rumor mill.

      Yesterday I tried to check his No Quarter blog, supposedly Richard Armstrong comments there, to find out , irony alert, he may not attract enough advertisements? His latest article was from mid-October.
      https://noquarterusa.net/advertise-with-noquarterusa/

      He uses a different blog for the Russian, call it whatever you like, activities in Ukraine? Wouldn’t be the first time Larry Johnson changed his blog and business venue.

      Like

  8. https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/12/30/glzw-d30.html

    In other news, shares for USA’s biggest arms manufacturers have skyrocketed over 2022. From the above linked WSWS.org article, to wit-

    “The year 2022 concludes with a shocking death toll: according to figures cited by US General Mark Miley, 200,000 people have been killed or injured in the fratricidal war in Ukraine.

    This horrific loss of life has been the basis for the generation of vast profits for the arms manufacturers. Under conditions in which the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen by 10 percent for the year as a whole, the share prices of US defense contractors have surged.

    Over the past 12 months, the share price of Northrop Grumman has increased 40 percent, Raytheon is up by nearly 17 percent, while Lockheed Martin has surged by 37 percent.”

    And more from the same article:

    “Summarizing the surging orders for major defense contractors, the Times notes, ‘Lockheed Martin, the nation’s largest military contractor, had booked more than $950 million worth of its own missile military orders from the Pentagon in part to refill stockpiles being used in Ukraine. The Army has awarded Raytheon Technologies more than $2 billion in contracts to deliver missile systems to expand or replenish weapons used to help Ukraine.'”

    I mentioned this before in a previous post, i.e. that war and especially American capitalism are inextricably joined at the hip, and need each other to be immensely profitable. Here’s the proof: while 2022 was one of the worst years for Wall Street, the major arms manufacturers had a banner year. ALL of the congressmen, Biden, Austin, the everybody at the pentagon, ALL of the arms makers are in on it. It is massive enabling group-think of the most vile and toxic imaginable: they literally create wars where wars were never needed, all in the name of immense profits and their sick fantasy of total world domination and American hegemony. Part and parcel of this total militarization of the USA’s government and economy are the ever growing number of CIA/military background democrats elected to congress (or who have recently ran for office): Elissa Slotkin, Gina Ortiz Jones, Abigail Spanberger, Jesse Colvin, Jeffrey Beals, Patrick Ryan, Shelly Chauncey, Omar Siddiqui, Andy Kim, Edward Meier, Sara Jacobs, Jessica Morse, to name but a few. In the 1970s no CIA agent would dare to campaign for congress boasting about their work with the CIA; today they openly brag about it and paste it front and center on their campaign website. There is an ongoing transformation of congress into a rubber stamp enabler for ever more ‘defense’ spending and world war with Russia and China. In their utterly toxic group think, anybody who dares to question raising the defense budget is attacked as unpatriotic, will be shunned, and lose any congressional seats they once had. They will then lose in the next election cycle to a more jingoistic pro-war candidate (who presumably got $50,000 from Northrup Grumman as a election donation). And that’s another thing: there is NO democracy in the USA; to the contrary it is ‘democracy for the highest bidder’ with unlimited corporate campaign donations for those running for office! And since the defense corporations have such massive profits they can bankroll their candidates for congress who will win, and then rubber stamp ever higher military spending which of course goes back into the pockets of the same defense corporations. The take away from all of this is that there will be war without end, as long as this sick, fucked up American system of literally making billions waging wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, Ukraine/Russia, and coming next China. And after that Iran. And after that _______________. And after that __________________. And after that __________________. And after that __________________. And after that __________________. And after that __________________. And after that __________________. And after that __________________. And after that __________________, etc.

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