Generalissimo Zelensky has a dilemma: On the one hand, he has ordered his army to retake the South (meaning Kherson and Zaporozhie) back from the Russians. On the other hand, he has far too many troops tied up in the Western part of the country (Lvov and other oblasts). They are there as the final defense, should the Russians break through all lines and cross the Dnepr River.
What to do? What to do? I have this story, the reporter is Anton Nikitin. The lede paragraph: Vladimir Zelensky, in negotiations with Polish President Andrzej Duda, has agreed to give citizens of Poland a “special status” in the Ukraine, in return for Poland moving its troops into the Western part of the country; this according to Rostislav Ishchenko, The latter, born and bred in Kiev, the Mother of all Russian cities, is a former Ukrainian diplomat. He served in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and in many other other posts in Independent Ukraine between 1992 right up through around 2010. After the 2014 coup Ishchenko emigrated to Russia, where he works as a publicist and political analyst. Now at 56 years old, he still possesses a full head of hair and an analytical brain. According to Ishchenko, Zelensky’s agreement with Poland formally enshrines the status of the Ukraine as a protectorate of Poland. Technically, the treaty has not yet been signed by the Rada, but he expects it to be ratified shortly: “In exchange, Kiev (with London’s and Washington’s approval) counts on seeing 20,000 Polish troops in the West of Ukraine. Zelensky needs this to happen so that he can move around 30,000 regular troops and an additional 20-30,000 Territorial Defense troops, currently all deployed in the Western Oblasts, to the Eastern Front.”
In other words, this would be a very good exchange for the Ukraine, if 20K Polish troops can free up over 50K Ukrainians. The Polish troops would have the softer job in the West, while the Ukrainians can head into the meat grinder on the Eastern Front.
The bad news, according to Ishchenko, is that Poles will hardly limit themselves to, say, quartermaster duties. He suspects that the Poles have their own hidden agenda, namely to occupy as much of the Ukrainian West as they can. Russians have been warning for months that the Poles have their eye on re-taking their “historical” provinces such as Lvov, Galicia and Volhynia. Some people dismiss these warnings as just scaremongering tactics, employed to scare Ukrainians and drive them apart from their dear Polish friends. To some extent that might be true, just like Westies try to scare Russians with predictions of the Chinese seizing parts of Russian Siberia.
On the other hand, given the recent Duda-Zelensky agreement; and given just how badly the Ukraine is losing this war and can barely hang on by its fingernails — there may actually be some there, there. In other words, the long-predicted partition of the Ukraine may actually be starting, right under our eyes.
In the next segment of this saga, we need to talk about possible impediments to this otherwise perfect union between Poland and the Ukraine. For that, I have this story by reporters Rafael Fakhrutdinov and Mikhail Moshkin. It will have to wait until tomorrow, but I shall give you a hint: the bone of contention between these two great nations starts with the letter “B” is for Bandera.
[to be continued]