Ukraine War Day #126: Russia Versus The World? [continued]

Dear Readers:

Continuing with this analysis regarding Russia’s relationships with its Central Asian neighbors. Well, relationships with neighbors are often complicated, especially when there is a lot of history there; even more so in times of war; and especially in current conditions, where said neighbors are under enormous pressure from the West, to join the anti-Russia Crusade.

The basic theme of this piece is that said neighbors are secretly rooting for Team Russia against Team Ukraine. But they can’t show their true colors on their sleeves, because … have to publicly suck up to West. Hence the demonstrative displays such as banning the letter Z and forbidding pro-Russian demonstrations, and so on.

Welcome to the Hood!

Having laid out that thesis, I must express a bit of my own skepticism. From my own superficial knowledge of this region, I am somewhat aware that anti-Russian sentiment does exist in these countries, among a certain portion of the population, and that the governments from time to time have grappled with issues of trying to distance themselves more from the Russian world. For example, by trying to move from the Cyrillic to the Latin alphabet, that sort of thing. I wrote about some of these issues in past blogposts, for example, this series from 2020 called “Alphabet Soup”.

In truth, it is a complicated history and a complicated process. It wouldn’t surprise me at all to find pro-Ukrainian (because anti-Russian) elements among both population and ruling elites. Nonetheless, let us return to the reporter’s take on what is happening there, based on his interviews with respected experts who have studied this region for many years.

Keeping Up Appearances

Kirgiz President Sadyr Japarov has stated the following: “We are a small country. We don’t have the kind of influence that could stop this conflict [between Russia and Ukraine], therefore we must adopt a neutral position.” Kazakhstan leaders have stated on more than one occasion that they have no intention of helping Russia get around Western sanctions, fearing that they themselves may fall under the same sanctions. Kazakh President Tokaev: “Sanctions are sanctions, we cannot bypass them, all the more so as we have been informed, that should we try to bypass these sanctions, then we ourselves will be subject to so-called secondary sanctions against our own economy.” Admittedly, this sounds quite different from a ringing endorsement of Western values, it sounds more like: “The bully told me if I tried to help the other guy, then he would punch ME in the nose as well!”

Tokaev: “We have to do what the bully tells us.”

For much the same reasons, Tokaev has demonstratively also refused to recognize DPR/LPR. As did Uzbek leader Kamilov. Who has insisted that he will remain friends with both sets of warring cousins, Russia and Ukraine.

Neighboring Tajikistan has adopted a slightly different tactic in dealing with the Russia-Ukraine war: They just pretend it isn’t happening, and their media never report on it. This way they don’t have to worry about saying something that will tick off either side.

All of this is taking place against the background of an unprecedented informational war, waged on the part of the West. For example, Western influence caused Kirgiz officials to ban the showing of several pro-Russian films which depicted the war in the Donbass in a way that was sympathetic to the people of the region. Political pundit Igor Shestakov, whom we met previously, connects this banning of Russian films to the influence of Western NGO’s [yalensis: which we know, realistically, are all funded by the American CIA]. These NGO’s operate freely and roam the steppes of Central Asia as if the land belonged to them. Shestakov: The position of the pro-American NGO’s, which demanded that these films be removed from the theaters, turned out to be more effective than the actions of those who supported this particular film festival. The result was that the Kirgiz government caved to them and banned the films. The good news is that the publicity turned out to be a good advertisement for the movies.”

General Michael Kurilla

In addition to the NGO’s, the Central Asian Republics are also routinely visited by American officials who make sure that everybody stays in line. For example, there is an American General named Michael Kurilla who recently completed a whirlwind tour of Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Kirgizia. Kurilla commands CENTCOM and is the point-person for organizing American military operations in Ukraine. Given this level of attention on the part of the Americans, it is clear that the latter want, with all their hearts, to split Central Asia away from Russia. And the weak economies of the Central Asian nations make them vulnerable to Western blackmail. Not to mention the economic impact of 30 years worth of grants, and the growth of an entire economy and social layer based on feeding at the trough of these grants. Plus the endless propaganda and manufacturing of a “public opinion” that is favorable to the U.S.

Given all of this, it sounds rather dubious that Russia could find any chance of friendship or even alliance coming out of this toxic neighborhood. But you would be surprised…

[to be continued]

This entry was posted in Friendship of Peoples, Military and War and tagged , . Bookmark the permalink.

15 Responses to Ukraine War Day #126: Russia Versus The World? [continued]

  1. colliemum says:

    Thanks, yalensis – and I’d love too e surprised, so am looking forward to the next instalment. There’s also one other player (a yellow elephant, perhaps?) in this area. A look at the map shows the long border three of those states share with China … that’s something the US and her NGO minions seem to like to overlook.

    Like

  2. Liborio Guaso says:

    With the discourse on democracy and human rights exhausted, the confrontation between the West and Russia and China is an attempt to maintain white racial privilege, no one doubts that.
    It is very easy for the West to force the thieves who usurp democratic governments to confront Russia by threatening to confiscate the stolen money that they hide in the banks of the North and prohibiting them from buying properties or going to live in retirement in the North with that dirty money. All this is a very common practice.
    In the absence of any sense of humanity, it only remains to be seen if Western racism and greed outweigh logic and drag the world into nuclear conflict.

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  3. Jan says:

    After the Russian help for Tokajew against the color revolution attempt January 2022 I was astonished that Kasachstan speaks so distanced about Russia.
    My impression is, that nobody really wants to talk about what really happened then. We may assume it was a cia / ned instigated assault, with a little help by the Turks and ISIS&co, but neither Russia nor Kasachstan displayed their infos or published an analysis. Or did I miss something?

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    • yalensis says:

      Hi, Jan! No, I don’t think you missed anything. Everybody remembers that Russia helped Tokaev when he was in trouble. I’m sure he remembers too. You ask a good question. Maybe there was just some sort of gentlemen’s agreement to forget it ever happened?

      Which is why I would personally not make a good national leader, because I am the kind of person who can hold a grudge forever. It’s not a trait I am particularly proud of, I hasten to add. Come to think of it, Lukashenko is like that too. Which is why he is helping Putin so much now. He can never forgive the West for what they tried to do to him.

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      • Jan says:

        We here, the anti-US-left in Germany, are convinced of course it was the empire.
        Normally Russia AND China show up their info about such a “interference in internal affairs”, but it is quiet. This makes me suspect it was not the US, but an internal fight for power in Kasachstan, the details of which better lie under the carpet. What do you think?

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        • yalensis says:

          Hi, Jan, unfortunately, I didn’t pay enough attention to the Kazakh “color revolution”, so I didn’t earn the right to have an opinion on it. Vaguely I have the impression there were a lot of internal issues going on. I mean, even the most crassly cynical color revolution has to base itself on SOMETHING within the targeted society. Some disenfranchised groups, or disgruntled elites. I think the playbook usually involves legitimate or somewhat legitimate protests which are then accelerated by the application of violent extremists to the already-smoldering flames.

          I have the impression that the West wanted to get rid of Tokaev (for whatever reason), and that Russia saved his bacon. Anybody out there know more, or can correct me on that?

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  4. S Brennan says:

    “An American General named Michael Kurilla…the point-person for organizing American military operations in Ukraine” Let me be the first, [here], to offer DC’s standard “heck-of-a-job” award but, in fairness to the good General, it does appear he’s done much to earn his august station.

    Sadly for Gen Kurilla, prosecuting a war against Russia, on Russia’s front-lawn, hasn’t tended to work out well for most Generals…and some of them where quite good at the business of war. I’m not exactly sure why but, the Ruskies can be downright inhospitable when you attempt to break into their homeland. Anyway, I’m sure there is a promotion regardless of the outcome, it’s the DC way…I’m thinking CIA director! And so it goes.

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    • yalensis says:

      Heckuva job, Mikey! Yes, the man does look formidable. I tried to find a photo of him smiling, but he always looks so stern and soldierly. He definitely has the right stuff, yet better men than him have broken their teeth against the Russian bear…

      Like

      • Cortes says:

        The dark hair out of a bottle says it all: “because I’m worth it.”

        Is that Carly Simon singing in the background?

        Like

  5. the pair says:

    the patrick batemans who run the west seem to over look a few things:

    1. this operation has shown that even a large country with 8 years of NATO training and supplies can be put down like a rabid dog when russia needs to. the “stans” wouldn’t last a second and i’m sure – whatever coverage it gets and whatever the slant on that coverage – that the populace realizes they’d just be cannon fodder like the ukies. (side note: “stan” is slang for a stalker-level fan. seems appropriate for countries who grovel for IMF pennies like this.)

    2. as mentioned in #1: the US should realize that a country’s leaders can only do so much without the consent of their “subjects”. the stans are hardly hotbeds of civil liberties and i’m sure there’s already a constant tension between the governed and the governments. if the amateurs spooks in NGOs can engineer a color revolution with their scant knowledge of the region and its cultures then i’m sure neighboring russia could send its own shady people right over the border to instigate…? they probably have plans B through F in that arena.

    3. the west spends so much time social engineering and screwing about overseas that they ignore the instability and the – let’s call a spade a spade – boiling revolutionary hatred they’ve engendered among their own hoi polloi. they can use their stenographers in the media to screech 24/7 about russia but at some point it becomes noise and people start worrying about making rent again.

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    • yalensis says:

      On point #3: I am no Nostradamus, but I am pretty sure a big social revolution is brewing within the U.S. Without an organized political fist like the Bolsheviks to lead it, it will most likely descend into fascism, alas; but either way it isn’t going to be pretty.
      I don’t wish this, but I fear it.

      Like

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