Er… did JIT just admit that the Ukrainians shot down the Boeing?

Dear Readers:

In re the long-lingering “Whodunnit” around the MH-17 (Boeing) shoot-down on July 17, 2014…

As the wiki (that I just linked) will eagerly tell you, the Dutch Safety Board investigation and Joint Investigation Team (JIT) recently issued its findings that Russia was responsible for the shoot-down of this civilian airliner.  Due to the fact that the civilian passenger plane was (supposedly) shot down by a BUK missile from an area controlled by the Donbass rebels; and that, in fact, the investigating committee has within its possession, the actual shell-casing from the missile in question, which was produced in Russia.  QED!

Is this the murder weapon?

As everybody knows, the committee investigating this crime consisted of a medley of Dutch people, Australians, and the Ukrainian government.  It is not every day that one of the suspects to a crime (=Ukraine) gets to participate in the criminal investigation.  Well, one does read a lot of crime novels, in which the perp tries to get cozy with the homicide detectives, so I reckon this happens in real life too.

From the very beginning, the committee made it clear that they intended to protect their client state Ukraine and lay the blame on Russia.  But in the final analysis (as is very appropriate for the football season), it seems like Team Westie just scored an own goal.  So, I have this piece from EurAsia Daily, in which the Russian Department of Defense points out a couple of simple facts to the JIT.  For starters, the shell casing that was triumphantly displayed to the world, presented as a Russian artifact, in fact dates from the Soviet era, 1986 to be precise.  A fact which JIT did not know, or chose to keep silent.

A close-up of the Serial Number

As Russian blogger miggertis points out, in his humorous piece, “Never was Stierlitz so close to success” (an inside joke that only Russian speakers will understand), the serial number on the casing, however old and rusty, clearly reads 9Д1318869032.   Which clearly denotes the time and place of manufacture:  A factory in the city of Dolgoprudny, Moscow Oblast, 1986.

As the Russian Ministry of Defense patiently pointed out to their Dutch colleagues, this series of rocket complexes had a lifespan of 15 years.  After that, which would have been around the year 2001, the rocket would have been decommissioned.  Well, in some cases, the inventory was allowed to be continued for an extra five years, so, let’s say, 2006 at the very latest.  And after 25 years (2011), there is simply no way this BUK could have escaped the scrap heap.  With such old explosives, the danger to soldiers lives is simply too high to risk.  The conclusion being that the casing displayed by the JIT must have come from the scrap heap.

Unless!  See, the above rules in regard to scrap-heaping only apply to non-Third World nations such as the Russian Federation.  Perhaps Ukrainians are somewhat more cavalier about disposing of old rockets and explosives.

When the Soviet Union died in 1991 and Papa’s inheritance was divided among the squabbling siblings, the Ukraine received as part of its dowry around 20 BUK Divisions.  Since that time the Ukraine, sliding evermore into poverty like the Prodigal Son, has not built one single new Zenith Rocket complex.  Hence, the likelihood is very high, that the rusty casing shown off by JIT was, in fact, a weapon well past its prime, but still in use by the impoverished and reckless Ukrainian military.


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